Sports Betting Index - Sports Betting Tips from professional gamblers

7.11.07

09.56

Golf

European Tour Order of Merit

Peter Hanson

Hanson was consistency on legs last season with 25 starts he finished 20th on the Order of Merit - and that was without a win! If he can turn 1 or 2 of his high finishes into wins then we really think he has the ability to compete with the rest of the players in Europe.

1/2 pt ew 100/1 Skybet,Coral 1/4 4

27.11.07

18.22

Golf

US PGA Tour Q School

Brett Rumford

Again Rumford is secure in knowing he can play in Europe next year - especially after his win in Crans (interestingly Gornberg won there as well) Whilst we don't think he has as much talent as the other players we have picked when you have a theory you know you have to see it through to the end as you know what will happen otherwise!!

1/4 pt ew 60/1 Bet365 1/4 5

2nd

-3.85

27.11.07

18.22

Golf

US PGA Tour Q School

Yong Eun Yang

Yang will be able to play where he wants around the world for the next few years after his HSBC win a year ago and he has admitted he has been off form for most of the year but the last month he has started to show how good a player he is including a comfortable win in his stage 2 qualifier.

1/4 pt ew 66/1 Tote,Stan James 1/4 5

Lost 6th!

-7.35

27.11.07

18.22

Golf

US PGA Tour Q School

Alejandro Canizares

Sticking with the same theory but with a slightly different angle based on recent Q school results
When you look at the last few years results Owen 4th,Davis 1st,Gronberg 1st,Hansen 4th - there is a theme - each are Euorpean tour players who have their Euro cards assured and are trying to step up to the big time, Canizares is a talented young player who has also had a few outings on the PGA tour this year with 2 top 25 finishes and showed his good form with a 2nd in Madrid a month ago.

1/2 pt ew 50/1 Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

-6.85

30.11.07

14.40

Skiing

Ladies Downhill Lake Louise

Maria Holaus

Young Holaus was a huge young talent but was sadly sidelined by injury for nearly 4 years and started to show a return to full fitness and form last season with a 3rd and 4th in 2 World Cup Downhills.She has gone really well in training and we think she could give us a really good run for our money.

1/4 pt ew 33/1 Paddy Power 1/5 3

Lost

-5.85

28.11.07

10.20

Golf

Abierto del Litoral

Gustavo Acosta

To be honest this is quite a strong field and it is good to see the top Argentinians supporting their home tour (unlike a lot of top players around the world) and it is good for us as it creates some value further down the field. We will go for Acosta who was 4th in Argentina at the weekend and 3rd in Chile a few weeks ago.He can boast some good form round Rosario including a 2nd and 7th and has played well in co-sanctioned events before including back to back top 3 finishes in Costa Rica in the last 2 years.

1/4 pt ew 80/1 Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

-5.35

27.11.07

13.27

Golf

New Zealand Open

Michael Sim

Last week we looked at the USA price and thought it was just plain wrong - this time we think Sims' price is badly wrong.The field is incredibly weak and we have a player who has plied his trade on the PGA tour this season with a top 10 in his penultimate event.He really had a problem getting entries to events on the PGA tour having recovered from injury and actually has a medical extension.
He was the world amateur no 1 just 2 years ago and has won on the Nationwide Tour and as far as New Zealand goes he did win the NZ amateur so will have fond memories.

1 pt ew 33/1 Sunderlands 1/4 6 or Betfred 1/5 6

Lost

-4.85

26.11.07

17.36

Golf

New Zealand Open

Dave Horsey

Youngster Horsey was gutted that he didn't make it past the second stage of the Euro Q school and took the risk of going down under via an invitation to earn his tour card quickly and it certainly paid off in Aus last week with a tie for 5th by shooting 2 rounds of 65 (the lowest of the week)He is a huge talent and on a course where no-one has an advantage this price is well worth taking.

1/2 pt ew 66/1 Lasseters 1/4 5

Lost

-2.85

30.11.07

11.47

Skiing

Mens Downhill Beaver Creek

Daniel Albrecht & Marco Sullivan

We wish we had tipped Nyman at the 20/1 yesterday before the Combined DH where he went well but we cannot bet him at such a short price instead we will have a couple of win only bets at big prices on Albrecht who won the combined event yesterday and had a 2nd in a World Cup DH last season and American Sullivan on home soil who was 2nd in the DH at Lake Loiuse last week

1/5 pt win 50/1 1/5 pt win 66/1

Sportingbet
Stan James

Lost

-1.85

27.11.07

14.17

Golf

New Zealand Open

Mark Brown

Kiwi Brown comes to his home Open in high spirits and in the form of his life. He was having a pretty average year until he returned home in October and finished 2nd in 2 domestic events which seemed to kick start his season. He returned to Asia and came out with 3 top 8 finishes including in the star studded Singapore event.He clearly has the talent to play at home and was 6th in the co-sanctioned NW/Aus event in Feb at Clearwater which was designed by the same guy who designed this weeks new course.

1/10 pt win 1/4 pt top 5 40/1 1/2 pt top 10 14/1 Sportstab

Lost

-1.45

27.11.07

11.27

Golf

US PGA Tour Q School

Brenden Pappas

We will be sticking to our theory that players who already have a card can play much more relaxed golf in the pressure cauldron that is a Q school.South African Pappas has a card via his ranking on the Nationwide Tour having made his last 13 cuts with 4 top 5 finishes in the year.He lives in Florida and has some course experience haing finished 2nd at Crooked Cat in a Stage 2 qualifier back in 02 and has managed an 8th in one of these marathon events before.

1/2 pt ew 66/1 Victor Chandler 1/4 5

Lost

-0.6

26.11.07

12.56

Golf

JT Cup Japan

Katsumasa Miyamoto

A limited field for the final event in Japan and we will go for a player who has superb course form - in 8 visits he has won twice and been runner-up so this price really caught our eye.Whilst he is not in such good form as some of the market leaders he was 10th 2 weeks ago and has obviously won this season - this just seems a wrong price to us.

1/2 pt ew 50/1 Stan James 1/4 4

Lost

+0.4

25.11.07

10.56

Skiing

Mens Super G Lake Louise

John Kucera

A frustrating day for us yesterday picking 2 Canadians when another one won but we will stick with the home runners in the guise of defending champion Kucera.He went very well in yesterdays downhill finishing 7th and this is definitely his stronger discipline.

1/2 pt win 15/1 1/2 pt top 3 4/1 Bet365

Lost

+1.4

23.11.07

12.28

Skiing

Mens Super G Lake Louise

Georg Streitberger

Streitberger had a really good 1st practice run for the Downhill but its the Super G which is his main event.He showed improved form in World Cup Super G races last season with 3 top 10 finishes and is worth a small risk at these prices.

1/10 pt win 50/1 Paddy Power
Bet365 1/5 pt top 3 11/1 Bet365

Lost

+2.4

19.11.07

11.52

Golf

Omega World Cup

USA

We really don't understand the price on Boo and Heath - they have been priced up as if they are second rate players and in this quality of field they are far from it.They are not the best the US have to offer but they are both excellent ball strikers and importantly they have known each other since they were kids.If they can gel then we really think they could be a surprise package and the crowds will love them rather than the money mad stars who have turned down the opportunity to represent their country.

3/4 pt ew 20/1 Sportingbet 1/4 4

2nd - lost play-off

+2.7

22.11.07

11.49

Golf

Australian Masters

Richard Finch

Finch just managed to secure his card for the 2008 season by the skin of his teeth finishing 7th in Mallorca a few weeks ago so he will be quite keen to secure it for next season much quicker! Whilst those at the top of the leaderboard are good quality players he is actually surrounded by very mediocre players and this price after just 1 round is simply too big.

1/10 pt win 200/1 1/5 pt top 4 40/1 Canbet

Lost

-0.3

24.11.07

09.51

Skiing

Mens Downhill Lake Louise

Eric Guay

Really rather surprised that Bwin have pushed Canadian Guay out from 10/1 to 24/1 on the back of 2 practice runs which were not exactly unimpressive.In the last few years he has not been at his best at lake Louise but he was 2nd in 03 and again has won domestic events here.In 5 consecutive major races at the beginning of the year he was not out of the top 4 so is worth a decent bet.

1/4 pt win 24/1 1/2 pt top 3 11/2 Bwin

Lost

+0.00

23.11.07

11.45

Skiing

Mens Downhill Lake Louise

Manuel Osborne-Paradis

The skiing season starts in earnest this weekend and our first play will be on a Canadian looking for his first World Cup success.As the weather has meant a lack of practice we think that the locals extra knowledge will prove advantageous and he certaily has a lot of experience on this mountain.He was 2nd here last year and has won domestic events and also managed a 5th and 3rd in other World Cup downhills last season

1/5 pt win 20/1 Paddy Power 1/4 pt top 3 9/2 Unibet

Lost

+0.75

20.11.07

16.46

Golf

Viet Nam Masters

Danny Chia

Third pick Chia finished 4th last time he played in Viet Nam on the main tour back in 05 - and yup you guessed it has been playing on the lesser tour over the last few months and has managed a win and a 2nd.Admittedly a speculative pick but at these odds worth a small risk.

1/10 pt ew 250/1 Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

+1.2

20.11.07

16.19

Golf

Viet Nam Masters

Mar Pucay

Pucay has returned from a summer break a rejuvenated man only missing 1 cut and having a top 5 finish in China. He has also been plying his trade on the lesser tour and has managed 2 wins in recent weeks - the latest coming just last week here in Viet Nam. He claims that this success has come from being more agressive and with a huge improvement in putting as well he could go close this week.

1/5 pt ew 100/1 Stan James 1/4 5

Lost

+1.4

20.11.07

16.19

Golf

Viet Nam Masters

Angelo Que

We are pleasantly surprised at the amount of bookmakers actually pricing up this weak Asian event but we aren't complaining! We will go for 3 players all of wom have shown a liking for playing in Viet Nam in the past.Que certainly meets that criteria - his one Asian tour win was in the country in 04.Whilst his tour form does not look that great he has been playing on the Asian Challenge Tour where he has gone 4/8/1 in recent weeks so his game is not in too bad a shape.

1/10 pt ew 150/1 Stan James 1/4 5

Lost

+1.8

20.11.07

10.45

Golf

Mastercard Masters

Marc Leishman

We will also go for another Aussie youngster to upset some of the home favourites who to be honest have a lot of question marks about them.Leishman turned pro at the end of 05 and won the money list on the Von Nida tour with 2 wins and 2 runner up slots.This year he played in 4 events on that tour in the spring finishing 3/2/1/4 and then he went to the states.Whilst his course form is not exceptional he grew up playing these sandbelt courses and his 3rd in the Jacobs Creek co-sanctioned with the Nationwide Tour is very good and this price is an insult!

1/4 pt ew 250/1 Coral 1/4 5

Lost

+2.0

20.11.07

10.01

Golf

Mastercard Masters

Steven Bowditch

It is no secret that the young Australian suffers from clinical depression and he would have been far more succesful were it not for this illness.He has struggled again in the US bar a 5th place in the summer but the last few years he has often been revitalised by a return to home soil with some good finishes in his home country. He has played some top rounds here before, playing superbly for 2 rounds last year and was 4th in 2004.He does have an extra incentive to win this year and there will not be a dry eye in the house if he wins and dedicates his victory to "Bowdie's Boy" - maybe last year the pressure was too great.Read here for more info.

1/4 pt ew 150/1 Portlandbet,
Betdirect 1/4 5

Lost

+2.5

19.11.07

15.52

Golf

Mastercard Masters

Jarmo Sandelin

Sandelin got his card back for this year by the skin of his teeth and last week he showed how keen he was to maintain his card again by finishing 7th in Hong Kong.His GIR stats for last week were excellent and if he can combine that with the way he putted at Huntingdale last season then he should give us a good run for our money.

1/4 pt ew 100/1 Ladbrokes 1/4 5

Lost

+3.0

19.11.07

15.30

Golf

Casio World Open

SK Ho

Korean Ho has been in the doldrums for about 18 months but in the last month he has begun to show what a good player he is with top 15 finishes in each of his last 3 starts in events which to be honest were better quality than this as most of the big stars have gone again.The price seems too big to us because of his current form combined with the fact that he won the PGA Championship on this course in 2004.

1/2 pt ew 50/1 Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

+3.5

14.11.07

10.54

Golf

European Qualifying School

Jan Are Larsen

Larsen is the other player in the field with his card already and like our other pick is simply trying to improve his position and chances of starts on the main tour.Whilst his course form is not great he is in better form than when he has approached the event in the past few years but he was 5th at the Q school on his first try so he can clearly handle the 6 round pressure.

1/5 pt ew 100/1 Tote 1/4 5

Lost

+4.5

14.11.07

10.54

Golf

European Qualifying School

Francois Delamontagne

We will stick with the theory we came up with last year when we found that in 03/04/05 the winner of the Q school all had something in common - they already had a tour card by way of their Challenge Tour ranking.We are keen on the Frenchman for this reason but when you add in a 3rd at the 04 Q school here and 17th in the main Euro tour event at San Roque in 05 he can obviously play the courses.Also he is in excellent form with 6 top 6 finishes from his last 9 events.

1/2 pt ew 40/1 Tote 1/4 5

Lost 6th!

+4.9

14.11.07

10.54

Golf

European Qualifying School

Seve Benson

One guy we are keen on who has progressed through both stages so far with flying colours is young Englishman Benson.He has managed a few starts on the main tour already playing in Russia and Qatar having won the amateur events in those respective countries and he even finished 10th in Russia. A top amateur he should also be inspired by Ross Fishers exploits as they both represent Wentworth.

1/5 pt ew 125/1 Bet365,Victor Chandler
Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

+5.9

13.11.07

12.34

Golf

Hong Kong Open

Gary Orr

Gary Orr was not having too bad a season when a bad back forced him out for 3 months and he now has a medical extension to win enough money in 9 events to secure his card.Since he returned his results haven't really borne out the fact that he is striking the ball as well as normal and he now comes to a course ideal for his game - indeed he was 4th here in 02 on his only visit.The best way to back Orr however is for a top 10 where he has a really good strike rate of near 15%.

1/5 pt win 150/1 Generally Available 1/2 pt top 10 14/1 Paddy Power

Lost

+6.3

13.11.07

12.34

Golf

Hong Kong Open

Jean Francois Lucquin

Since securing his card very early in the season in the Far East the Frenchman went right off the boil but in his last few events he has shown some solid signs of a return to form.Excellent 1st and final rounds in Portugal was followed by a top 10 in Mallorca where he led after 2 rounds.Once he hits form he tends to maintain it and whilst his course form is not great the course should in theory suit his accurate game.

1/5 pt ew 150/1 Generally Available 1/4 5 1/2 pt top 10 14/1 Skybet,Boyles

Lost

+7.0

13.11.07

10.52

Golf

ADT Championship

Angela Park

The final event of the LPGA calender has a very ususual format where players battle for a $1m winners cheque which we think will suit Angela Park.Basically you need to be quick out of the gates and there aren't much quicker than the youngster who has led after rd 1 five times this season.Last seasons winner Granada has a very similar profile to Park and we think this price is far too big.

1/2 pt ew 60/1 Blue Square 1/4 4

Lost

+7.9

13.11.07

09.27

Golf

Hong Kong Open

Francesco Molinari

Last year Molinari qualified for the Champions event where he finished 9th and then came to Hong Kong finishing 8th.He has had a pretty average year but seems to be getting some form back over the last few months and he really does have the talent to win lots more on the European tour.

1/2 pt ew 66/1 Generally Available 1/4 5

Lost

+8.9

12.11.07

15.53

Golf

Hong Kong Open

James Kingston

Well we must be gluttons for punishment but we cannot leave Kingston out again this week.Two years ago we were on him when he took a 1 shot lead up the last only to double bogey it (watching Fisher yesterday brought the painful memories flooding back!) That made it 2 years running that Kingston finished 2nd here and he has also been 8th and 7th so he loves it here.In solid if rather unspectacular form of late he is bound to be a popular choice this week and get ready to lay him back on Betfair on Sunday morning!!

1/2 pt ew 66/1 Victor Chandler Stan James 1/4 5

Lost

+9.9

9.11.07

21.01

Golf

US PGA Q School Stage II Craig Ranch

DJ Brigman

Brigman always plays in the Texas qualifier (when he has to!) and has a really good record over the years.He was 6th on this course last season and previous to that on a different course he was 7/4/9/1 so he is more than capable of coping with the pressure.He must like Texas as his one NW tour win came in the state and to be honest he has played quite well in Fall Series with 4/6 cuts made and some really good rounds.

1/2 pt ew 33/1 Skybet 1/4/ 4

Lost

+10.9

9.11.07

21.01

Golf

US PGA Q School Stage II Lake Jovita

Andrew Johnson

As Skybet will probably be the only ones who will have a crack at these qualifying bets we might as well take a couple of prices.In one of the Florida events we will go for a local guy who actually won this stage II event here 12 months ago so he is bound to be quietly confident.Whilst he has endured a poor year on the Nationwide and Canadian tours he did play his last event in his home state a few weeks ago and was 2nd after 2 rounds before fading.

1/4 pt ew 80/1 Skybet 1/4/ 4

Lost

+11.9

7.11.07

13.09

Golf

Sumitomo Visa Taiheuyo Masters

Katsumasa Miyamoto

We will take a risk on the this local Japanese player who has a pretty good long term record at Gotemba including a 3rd and 7th.We will take a risk that his w/d in Singapore last week after an 85 was an anomoly and he did win an event back in August and he has an excellent top 5 finish record.

1/5 pt ew 100/1 Paddy Power 1/4 5

Lost

+12.4

5.11.07

20.04

Golf

HSBC Champions

Ross Fisher

We are not too worried about the lack of course form for the big hitting Englishman He had a chance to add to his KLM win in Portugal but faded a bit in the last round and last week played superbly but his 2nd round 80 let him down.We are not too worried about him playing in China as 2 years ago he was 4th in the China Open when he led going into the final round.

1/4 pt ew 100/1 Ladbrokes 1/4 5

2nd

+12.8

5.11.07

15.59

Golf

HSBC Champions

Kevin Stadler

We have always had a bit of a soft spot for Walrus Jnr when he was a 125/1 winner for us and being a winner of 6 events around thw orld in the last few years he is a confirmed winner. He was really struggling for his PGA card last week and had to finish in the top 15 - he did exactly that! He has some course experience being 23rd last year after a poor opening round and he should really be less than half this price.

1/5 pt ew 250/1 Blue Square 1/4 5

4th

+6.8

6.11.07

13.15

Golf

LPGA Tournament of Champions

Karen Stupples

Stupples is tring to juggle being a new mum and playing on tour and she seems to have gradually been getting it together with her short game returning.She has some really good course form including a 3rd on her debut and 11th last year when preganant.She sounds very confident and so are we that she can end the season on a real high

1/4 pt ew 100/1 Generally Available 1/4 4

Lost

-5.5

6.11.07

18.19

Golf

European Q school Stage 2 Costa Ballena

Carlos de Corral

We will be honest and say that we wanted a bigger price about the Spaniard but we don't want to let the bet pass us by.What we must remember when betting in these types of events is that the field is really weak and Corrals 12th place on the Challenge Tour in his home country in September reads quite well!! He won his stage 1 Q school event and 2 years ago he won the stage 2 event held on this very course.

1/2 pt ew 28/1 Skybet 1/4 5

Lost

-5.0

5.11.07

21.43

Golf

HSBC Champions

Nick Dougherty

When you compare this price to others where the biggest is 35/1 it would be easy to get carried away and have a huge bet but we think think most books have underpriced him and nearer 40 might be the correct mark - and the reason is he just doesn't convert enough winning chances.He does have a really good long term record in Asia and was 3rd on his one appearance here in 05.

1/4 pt win 50/1 1/2 pt top 5 10/1 Sportstab

Lost

-4.0

5.11.07

20.43

Golf

HSBC Champions

John Senden

Sometimes we look at a price,
then look again and again and still think it is wrong - this is the case with Senden this week. He has been having a rest at home after finishing his season in the PGA tour with back to back top 5 finishes and he also had a 4th in the US PGA which coupled with the fact he has won twice in the last 18 months makes it a big price. Whilst he has no course form Sheshan should suit his game and he has performed really well when fresh in the last 2 seasons

3/4 pt ew 50/1 Generally Available 1/4 5

Lost

-2.5

3.11.07

12.32

Athletics

Mens New York Marathon

Marilson Gomes dos Santos

We are really not sure why the Brazilian defending champion is such a big price. New York is a specialist course that is hilly in places and he trained perfectly for it last season surprising many people (though not himself) when he pulled off the win.It is not as if he has been running poorly this season either - he ran a personal best in London although he didn't make the podium and recently broke the hour mark for a half marathon - an impressive feat.

1/2 pt ew 16/1 Paddy Power (14/1 Victor Chandler) 1/5 3

Lost

-1.0