31 August 15.54
One other suggestion for the Omega European Masters is Argentinian Tano Goya - admittedly he is difficult to catch right but he seems to like the same type of courses - most of which are quirky and/or at altitude. He did well on his debut here last year and at 14/1 top 10 and anything over 200/1 on Betfair is worth a bet. |
31 August 13.44
Well I had better put up one of my selections for Crans as Bettingzone have gone for him as well - Felipe Aguilar. Whilst I agree with their reasons for picking him - 1st for GIR last week - he was also 2nd for DA and 9th for scrambling - they seem to have missed a couple of other solid reasons for backing him. He actually lives at altitude in Chile so will be used to the ball flight and his course form is a little better when you add in his win on this course on the Alps tour back in 2003 when he was an emerging young talent. I did wonder why I wasn't getting matched on Betfair at bigger odds but am happy to take the 200/1 ew |
31 August 10.46
This weeks Omega European Masters looks interesting as I can see Jimenez,Molinari and Dyson falling a bit flat after their Ryder Cup campaigns - back later with a couple of outsiders. |
29 August 22.24
Close but only a small cigar as Streelman can't quite score low enough for the win - not bad for a 250/1 pick but will have to make do with the top 5 and top 10. Back in Europe - great stuff from Ed Molinari today and brings back into my play on him for top 10 Race to Dubai at 14/1 - maybe even the win at 80/1 lol |
28 August 23.08
I think for the first time ever I feel slightly sorry for Monty - he will be damned no matter what he does - especially if they lose!
Personally I cannot see how he can pick Pod - in bloody awful form with an awful RC record - why the hell should he be a pick? - and if he leaves out Ed Molinari it will discourage every young player out there |
27 August 21.52
A tad miffed after the last two days - had Warren for round one leader - stood on the 17th green with a 2 foot putt for par which he missed then missed a birdie from 6 feet at the last! Then today - have seen Streelman shoot -8 - why couldn't he do that yesterday!! - thankfully he was the player I tipped on here this week so thankfully he came back from the dead lol! |
26 August 11.05
I thought it was about time I did a bit of shameless plugging for Mrs SBI who designs my websites but also runs a rather good site www.specialdaypictures.co.uk . If you are ever stuck for a present for a childs birth, a christening, a wedding or even a graduation this unique personalised gift is ideal for such an occasion (end of commercial!) |
25 August 21.13
I really want to back Anthony Wall this week as I know he is probably in for a good week but with his inability to win the odds of 66/1 are pretty shocking - I got a bit on at 100 on Betfair and maybe think I should try spread betting with players like Wall!! |
24 August 17.00
The player I alluded to last night was Kevin Streelman in the Barclays. To be honest he hasn't shown a great deal since his 3rd in Puerto Rico and 7th at Bay Hill earlier this year but last week he hinted he was back to some semblance of form. He loved playing here two years ago when he had a really good chance to win before going on to finish 4th. It was a bit of a homecoming for him as his family is from the area and he had a lot of support - oh and the morbid bit - his grandparents reside next door to the course - in the cemetery!!!!! I have bet him 250/33/16 Betfair/Extrabet |
23 August 22.29
A busy day today going through lots of events - plenty lined up for the Select Service this week and I might have an interesting angle for the first Fedex playoff event the Barclays and it's a bit morbid!! |
22 August 20.26
I was looking forward to a Sunday evening following the golf with Weibring in contention in the Seniors and a few quid on McCarron - the joy didn't last long - time to start the research for next week! |
21 August 09.33
Woke up this morning to see DA Weibring maintains his lead in the Jeld Wen so fingers crossed there. Had a quick look at the Czech Open and maybe unheralded American Nathan Smith might go better than the layers expect - he turned up in Europe last season and managed a 4th in the Scandinavian Masters - just had a small bet around 200 on Betfair. Off to have a closer look at the Wyndham now. |
20 August 16.42
Just spent the afternoon re-jigging the Select Service results pagses so you can now see a monthly breakdown of results rather than a constant list of all results together - can be found here |
20 August 09.49
Had a refreshing break away from the computer for a few days although I would say don't holiday in England in August! Back to some goon news as well as the Select Service clients have DA Weibring leading in the Jeld-Wen - lets hope he continues over the next three days how he started. |
17 August 11.22
Took a day off from things yesterday after the debacle of the US PGA for me - annoyed with giving back a large chunk of Mahan winnings from the week before. Part of me is thankful that Micheel has withdrawn from this weeks Wyndham as I might well have backed him!
One that catches the eye in the Czech Open is Richie Ramsay at 80/1 - he is prone to a bad round but will be keen to get back on course after a final round 64 in Ireland. He is learning the courses on tour well and did well for 3 rounds last season here and has already won this season. |
15 August 14.45
One last throw of the dice - it might last a few minutes but Cink has played well the last 2 days and has won from 9 behind before and of course last year got in the clubhouse at the Open to post a score that won him the title. At 850 on Betfair he could be tradeable - if not its back to basics and stick to the Select Service bets for next week!!! |
15 August 10.19
Well thats the dream well and truly over - on the plus side Football Betting Index has had a good start to the season securing a nice profit for the month of August |
14 August 11.19
Well the dream of paying the mortgage off isn't quite over yet - although Micheel is 6 back I don't think he is totally out of it in tied 18th. When he returned to the course yesterday he played his final 7 holes poorly but then came out and shot a 3 under 2nd round with 15 pars and 3 birdies - if he can play like that over the weekend he will be back in it. I was very disappointed with Clarke who was -3 through 13 as I had him for 1st round leader - he played very poorly when he resumed. |
11 August 09.48
I always like to have a quick last look at an event the day before to see if I have missed anything and something Dave Tindall says - 11 of last 12 winners had already won that season. Already on Scott but on a quick look down the list of winners this season it didn't take me long before coming to Ben Crane winner at the difficult Torrey Pines course. He was 9th here in 2004 when he led the putting stats for the week and maybe he has a penchant for Pete Dye courses - after all he has been top 6 at Sawgrass for the last 3 years. I have had £50 ew 125/1 - 140/1 with 6 places. |
10 August 12.14
For those of you new to this site just a quick mention of the Select Service I run which since its inception has produced the following results
Points staked = 133
Points returned = 251.98
Profit = 118.98
I think you will agree that's a very healthy profit margin for just £75 a month - all bets are independently proofed and full results are available here |
9 August 16.53
Time for the main bet of the week - well probably the year to be honest -
I have been waiting for this event for a number of months and waiting to back one player since I first looked at it so anticipation on my part has been very high!!
The man in question is Shaun Micheel who this year has finally recovered from the shoulder injuries that have plagued his career.
So far this season he has racked up 3 top 5 finishes - impressive for him becasue if you take out his 1st and 2nd in this Major he has only had 6 other top 5 finishes on the PGA tour in 10 years.Interestingly 2 of those top 5 finishes were at Deere Run and 2 at Annandale - these sorts of figures lead me to the conclusion he is a bit of an event/course specialist.
Before going for a Major plunge I also like to find evidence of an ability to play the course - especially one like Whistling Straits with its 1200 bunkers and when it was used in 2004 Micheel was 24th - maybe not that great but on closer analysis he shot the lowest score of anyone for the final 54 holes - his first round 77 scuppered his chances but he did have the added pressure of being defending champion.
Going back to this years form I was a little worried about last weeks missed cut but he has missed 4 cuts this season and the following week has come out and finished 5th,26th,4th,4th - and going back to his 1st and 2nd in this Major - on each occasion he had missed the 54 hole cut at the International the week before.
There is one other thing Micheel has going for him and it has he says proved his inspiration this season - instead of playing for himself he is playing for his mother who is dying of cancer - maybe he is heaping too much on himself but reading between the lines I get the feeling he has the game and the mindset to go out and win this week.
£450 win Betfair/Betdaq 280 average
£175 e/w 200/1 - as much as possible 6 places |
9 August 14.59
My main bet for the week will follow later but I couldn't resist a couple more prices on two players just getting some form together and who both were top 10 here back in 2004 - Stephen Ames £50 370 on Betfar and Adam Scott £40 ew 80/1 (6 places) |
9 August 10.00
A quick first post for the PGA Championship - Tote have pushed out a load of players this morning - the one that catches the eye is Darren Clarke at 250/1 - £20 ew for me |
8 August 23.43
Well done Hunter Mahan - a nice winner and some nice ammunition for the final Major of the year next week! |
8 August 13.50
A great day yesterday for FBI getting 4 out of 6 right for a 26.8 point profit and in the evening Mahan got into contention in Firestone - should make for interesting viewing this evening. With the poor form of Woods and the w/d of Westwood next weeks US PGA Championship is beginning to look very interesting |
7 August 11.33
Just a quick post for Turning Stone on what could be a good trade - Dean Wilson has a really good 3rd round scoring average (when he gets that far!) - 8th on tour in the last year - he was 2nd in Canada a few starts ago as well. I have had some 80-90 on Betfair in the belief he can make a move today |
6 August 12.10
It's been a pretty quiet week so far - busy researching for the PGA Championship at Whisltling Straits - the final Major of the year next week. On other news the Scottish football season proper kicks off tomorrow and the tips are primed and ready to go out at FBI. On a slightly different tangent Mr T is no more at his new home - ho hum!! |
2 August 14.45
I must admit on the main tour outright markets the only place these days to nick a bit of early value is on Betfair - quite happy about the 65 I got on Hunter Mahan for the WGC at Firestone - can't see the books getting close to that! |
2 August 12.14
Well Seo managed to get a tie of a place which resulted in money back - nothing ventured - nothing gained! Sadly the Select Service drew a blank but FBI had a much better weekend with a healthy 13.5 point profit - the season proper starts next weekend and things are looking promising. |
